Ehime FC vs Matsumoto Yamaga: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama
The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Matsumoto Yamaga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ehime FC vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Ehime FC (1,711) and Matsumoto Yamaga (1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ehime FC have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Matsumoto Yamaga have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 2-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pacific University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 4-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ehime FC(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ventforet Kofu(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 0-2 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ehime FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Matsumoto Yamaga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 Ehime FC | J3 League |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Ehime FC 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga | J3 League |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Ehime FC | J3 League |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 Ehime FC | J3 League |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Ehime FC 3-2 Matsumoto Yamaga | J3 League |
| Aug 22, 2021 | Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 Ehime FC | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Matsumoto Yamaga score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ehime FC | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Matsumoto Yamaga | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ehime FC sit 2nd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Matsumoto Yamaga sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ehime FC vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
- The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Matsumoto Yamaga.
- Where and when is Ehime FC vs Matsumoto Yamaga played?
- Ehime FC vs Matsumoto Yamaga is played on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ningineer Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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