Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?

Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu

Kitakyushu

Renofa Yamaguchi

The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Kitakyushu (1,620) and Renofa Yamaguchi (1,717).

Kitakyushu win33 %

Draw27 %

Renofa Yamaguchi win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Renofa Yamaguchi have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kitakyushu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 18, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

Renofa Yamaguchi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nara Club(away)	1-3	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Kagoshima United(away)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kitakyushu win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Kitakyushu 2-2 Renofa Yamaguchi	J2/J3 League
Mar 22, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 Kitakyushu	J2/J3 League
Jun 3, 2024	Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 Kitakyushu	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 25, 2024	Renofa Yamaguchi 3-1 Kitakyushu	Friendlies Clubs
Nov 13, 2021	Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 Kitakyushu	J2 League
Apr 21, 2021	Kitakyushu 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kitakyushu	1.1	1.9	2	10/15	10/15
Renofa Yamaguchi	1.5	1.5	2	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kitakyushu sit 15th in J3 League (2 points from 2 matches) and Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Renofa Yamaguchi	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
15	Kitakyushu	2	0	2	0	2	2	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?: The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?: Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.