Match

Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu

KitakyushuRenofa Yamaguchi

The Footlab AI model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Renofa Yamaguchi wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,880 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Renofa Yamaguchi starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,682).

24%26%50%
Kitakyushu winDrawRenofa Yamaguchi win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kitakyushu

4-3-3
  1. 11Koh Seung-Jin
  2. 52M. Nishimura
  3. 37K. Yoshida
  1. 66D. Takahashi
  2. 18S. Hiramatsu
  3. 8M. Yoshinaga
  1. 3R. Kamihashi
  2. 28K. Yokokubo
  3. 30K. Fukumori
  4. 20S. Yasumitsu
  1. 31K. Otani

Renofa Yamaguchi

4-3-3
  1. 13Sota Watanabe
  2. 19S. Yamamoto
  3. 70R. Gunji
  1. 4K. Nakashima
  2. 17K. Tanabe
  3. 40H. Naruoka
  1. 5K. Yoshioka
  2. 33S. Kikuchi
  3. 2R. Ozawa
  4. 15T. Itakura
  1. 35K. Uchiyama

Computed on October 30, 2026 at 01:52 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Renofa Yamaguchi have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kitakyushu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)3-1J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Fukushima United(away)1-2J3 League
Oct 17, 2026Osaka(home)3-1J3 League
Oct 10, 2026Nara Club(away)0-2J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Kochi United(home)2-0J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)2-0J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Ehime FC(away)1-2J3 League
Oct 18, 2026Kochi United(home)2-0J3 League
Oct 11, 2026Tochigi SC(away)1-0J3 League
Oct 3, 2026FC Gifu(away)2-0J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kitakyushu wins, 2 draws, 2 Renofa Yamaguchi wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Kitakyushu 2-2 Renofa YamaguchiJ2/J3 League
Mar 22, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 KitakyushuJ2/J3 League
Jun 3, 2024Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 KitakyushuFriendlies Clubs
Feb 25, 2024Renofa Yamaguchi 3-1 KitakyushuFriendlies Clubs
Nov 13, 2021Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 KitakyushuJ2 League
Apr 21, 2021Kitakyushu 0-0 Renofa YamaguchiJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kitakyushu score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kitakyushu1.51.8211/1510/15
Renofa Yamaguchi1.30.985/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kitakyushu sit 12th in J3 League (16 points from 13 matches) and Renofa Yamaguchi sit 3rd (26 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Renofa Yamaguchi1382319926
12Kitakyushu13445192216

A question about Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
The Footlab AI model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?
Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kitakyushu and Renofa Yamaguchi

Ready to know everything about football?