Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sunpro Alwin Stadium, Matsumoto
The Footlab model makes FC Gifu the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Matsumoto Yamaga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Matsumoto Yamaga (1,701) and FC Gifu (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Matsumoto Yamaga have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; FC Gifu have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ehime FC(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ventforet Kofu(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 0-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Toyama Shinjo(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kochi United(home) | 7-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(away) | 3-0 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Matsumoto Yamaga win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FC Gifu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | FC Gifu 0-3 Matsumoto Yamaga | J2/J3 League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 FC Gifu | J2/J3 League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 FC Gifu | J3 League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | FC Gifu 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga | J3 League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | FC Gifu 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga | J3 League |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 FC Gifu | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Matsumoto Yamaga score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Gifu score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsumoto Yamaga | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Gifu | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Matsumoto Yamaga sit 16th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and FC Gifu sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gifu | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu?
- The Footlab model makes FC Gifu the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Matsumoto Yamaga.
- Where and when is Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu played?
- Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu is played on April 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sunpro Alwin Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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