Match

Tochigi SC vs Osaka: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya

Tochigi SCOsaka

The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tochigi SC vs Osaka?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Tochigi SC (1,729) and Osaka (1,716).

Tochigi SC win43 %
Draw27 %
Osaka win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Osaka have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tochigi SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)1-3Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Kitakyushu(home)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Urayasu(home)2-0Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(away)0-0J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Kanazawa(home)3-2J3 League
Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)1-2Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026FC Ryukyu(home)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Nara Club(away)4-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)4-2J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)1-1J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Tochigi SC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Osaka win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2025Osaka 0-1 Tochigi SCJ3 League
Mar 16, 2025Tochigi SC 1-0 OsakaJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Osaka vs Tochigi SC on Oct 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tochigi SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Osaka score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tochigi SC1.01.258/157/15
Osaka1.61.5112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Osaka sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Osaka3120755
8Tochigi SC3120545

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Osaka?
The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Osaka.
Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Osaka played?
Tochigi SC vs Osaka is played on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tochigi SC and Osaka

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