Tochigi SC vs Osaka: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya
The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Osaka?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Tochigi SC (1,729) and Osaka (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Osaka have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Urayasu(home) | 2-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 4-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Tochigi SC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Osaka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | Osaka 0-1 Tochigi SC | J3 League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Tochigi SC 1-0 Osaka | J3 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tochigi SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Osaka score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi SC | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Osaka | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Osaka sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Osaka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Osaka?
- The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Osaka.
- Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Osaka played?
- Tochigi SC vs Osaka is played on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027FC GifuvsFC Ryukyu
- Mar 27, 2027Kamatamare SanukivsSagamihara
- Mar 27, 2027Ehime FCvsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Mar 27, 2027KitakyushuvsRenofa Yamaguchi
- Mar 27, 2027Kagoshima UnitedvsNara Club
- Mar 27, 2027Fukushima UnitedvsKochi United
- Mar 27, 2027Gainare TottorivsKanazawa
- Mar 27, 2027Parceiro NaganovsRoasso Kumamoto