Parceiro Nagano vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano
The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Roasso Kumamoto starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,700 vs 1,597).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-6 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fukui United(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Parceiro Nagano win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Roasso Kumamoto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Parceiro Nagano 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto | J3 League |
| May 16, 2021 | Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Parceiro Nagano 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto | J3 League |
| Sep 9, 2020 | Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Dec 8, 2019 | Parceiro Nagano 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Parceiro Nagano score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parceiro Nagano | 0.8 | 1.4 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parceiro Nagano sit 5th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 17 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs Roasso Kumamoto?
- The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Parceiro Nagano.
- Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Roasso Kumamoto played?
- Parceiro Nagano vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.