El Nacional vs Aucas: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 14Kick-off on May 8, 2016 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of El Nacional vs Aucas?
El Nacional and Aucas drew 1-1 on May 8, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 49′Christian Rolando Lara AnangonóEl Nacional
- 80′E. SolariAucas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Aucas have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2016 | LDU de Quito(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 2, 2016 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 27, 2016 | Aucas(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2016 | Delfin SC(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Emelec(away) | 0-4 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 10, 2016 | Emelec(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 3, 2016 | Delfin SC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 30, 2016 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 El Nacional win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Aucas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2016 | Aucas 0-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| May 10, 2015 | El Nacional 1-1 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Mar 8, 2015 | Aucas 2-3 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aucas score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Aucas | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy