Bala Azul vs Olímpico Totana: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón
The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Azul vs Olímpico Totana?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Bala Azul (1,733) and Olímpico Totana (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Olímpico Totana have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | UD Caravaca(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Muleño(home) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 31, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 24, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 17, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bala Azul win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Olímpico Totana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bala Azul 0-0 Olímpico Totana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Olímpico Totana 2-0 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Bala Azul vs Olímpico Totana on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Olímpico Totana score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Olímpico Totana | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Azul sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (38 points from 34 matches) and Olímpico Totana sit 4th (58 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Olímpico Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 58 |
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 7 | 17 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs Olímpico Totana?
- The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Bala Azul.
- Where and when is Bala Azul vs Olímpico Totana played?
- Bala Azul vs Olímpico Totana is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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