Match

Bala Azul vs Olímpico Totana: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón

Bala AzulOlímpico Totana

The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bala Azul vs Olímpico Totana?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Bala Azul (1,733) and Olímpico Totana (1,791).

Bala Azul win29 %
Draw29 %
Olímpico Totana win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Olímpico Totana have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bala Azul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026UD Caravaca(home)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026Cieza(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026Muleño(home)3-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Olímpico Totana(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026Cartagena LU II(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Olímpico Totana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Real Murcia II(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 31, 2026Real Murcia II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 24, 2026Unión Molinense(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 17, 2026Unión Molinense(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026Santomera(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bala Azul win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Olímpico Totana win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Bala Azul 0-0 Olímpico TotanaTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 13, 2025Olímpico Totana 2-0 Bala AzulTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Bala Azul vs Olímpico Totana on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Olímpico Totana score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bala Azul1.51.369/158/15
Olímpico Totana1.30.877/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bala Azul sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (38 points from 34 matches) and Olímpico Totana sit 4th (58 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Olímpico Totana3415136442758
11Bala Azul3471710363638

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs Olímpico Totana?
The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Bala Azul.
Where and when is Bala Azul vs Olímpico Totana played?
Bala Azul vs Olímpico Totana is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bala Azul and Olímpico Totana

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