El Palmar vs Mazarrón FC: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, El Palmar
The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Palmar vs Mazarrón FC?
Mazarrón FC starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,643).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Palmar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Mazarrón FC have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 16, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 El Palmar win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mazarrón FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC 4-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | El Palmar 1-0 Mazarrón FC | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 16, 2022 | El Palmar 1-0 Mazarrón FC | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Mazarrón FC 1-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Mazarrón FC 0-0 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 1, 2019 | El Palmar 2-1 Mazarrón FC | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Mazarrón FC vs El Palmar on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
El Palmar score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mazarrón FC score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Palmar | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Mazarrón FC | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Palmar sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (32 points from 34 matches) and Mazarrón FC sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mazarrón FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50 | 33 | 55 |
| 14 | El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 48 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Palmar vs Mazarrón FC?
- The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for El Palmar.
- Where and when is El Palmar vs Mazarrón FC played?
- El Palmar vs Mazarrón FC is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027Los GarresvsBullas Deportivo
- Jan 17, 2027SFC MinervavsBalsicas Atlético
- Jan 17, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsSantomera
- Jan 17, 2027Bala AzulvsOlímpico Totana
- Jan 17, 2027AlcantarillavsÁguilas II
- Jan 17, 2027Unión MolinensevsCartagena LU II
- Jan 17, 2027AlgarvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Jan 17, 2027Santa CruzvsSan Javier