Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 26Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Estrella Del Sur the favourite at 38%, against 37% for a draw and 25% for Victoriano Arenas. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas?
Estrella Del Sur starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,642 vs 1,534).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella Del Sur have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Victoriano Arenas have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Centro Español(away) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Canuelas(away) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JJ Urquiza(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lujan(home) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mercedes(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berazategui(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | General Lamadrid(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lugano(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Centro Español(away) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | JJ Urquiza(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Estrella Del Sur win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Victoriano Arenas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Victoriano Arenas 3-0 Estrella Del Sur | Primera C |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Estrella Del Sur 2-1 Victoriano Arenas | Primera C |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Victoriano Arenas 0-0 Estrella Del Sur | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Victoriano Arenas vs Estrella Del Sur on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estrella Del Sur score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Victoriano Arenas score 0.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrella Del Sur | 1.0 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Victoriano Arenas | 0.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrella Del Sur sit 4th in Primera C (38 points from 25 matches) and Victoriano Arenas sit 7th (35 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Estrella Del Sur | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 38 |
| 7 | Victoriano Arenas | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas?
- The Footlab model makes Estrella Del Sur the favourite at 38%, against 37% for a draw and 25% for Victoriano Arenas.
- Where and when is Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas played?
- Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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