Where and when is Juventud Unida vs Mercedes played?

Juventud Unida vs Mercedes is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Islas Malvinas, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Juventud Unida vs Mercedes: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 26Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Islas Malvinas, Ingeniero Adolfo Sourdeaux, Buenos Aires

Juventud Unida

Mercedes

The Footlab model makes Mercedes the favourite at 37%, against 35% for a draw and 29% for Juventud Unida. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Juventud Unida vs Mercedes?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Juventud Unida (1,554) and Mercedes (1,581).

Juventud Unida win29 %

Draw35 %

Mercedes win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventud Unida have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Mercedes have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Juventud Unida
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Deportivo Paraguayo(away)	1-2	Primera C
Aug 18, 2026	Deportivo Muñiz(away)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 9, 2026	Puerto Nuevo(home)	1-1	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Claypole(away)	2-0	Primera C
Jul 26, 2026	Defensores de Cambaceres(home)	3-1	Primera C

Mercedes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sacachispas(home)	2-0	Primera C
Aug 18, 2026	Claypole(away)	0-1	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Argentino Rosario(away)	0-2	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Estrella Del Sur(home)	1-1	Primera C
Jul 25, 2026	Berazategui(away)	1-0	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Juventud Unida win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Mercedes win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Mercedes 1-1 Juventud Unida	Primera C
Nov 3, 2024	Juventud Unida 2-0 Mercedes	Primera C
Jun 1, 2024	Mercedes 0-0 Juventud Unida	Primera C
Nov 28, 2023	Mercedes 0-4 Juventud Unida	Primera D
Aug 21, 2023	Juventud Unida 3-1 Mercedes	Primera D
Apr 15, 2023	Juventud Unida 2-1 Mercedes	Primera D

Last archived meeting: Mercedes vs Juventud Unida on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Juventud Unida score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mercedes score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Juventud Unida	1.3	0.8	6	7/15	5/15
Mercedes	1.3	0.7	7	4/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Juventud Unida sit 9th in Primera C (32 points from 24 matches) and Mercedes sit 6th (36 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Mercedes	25	9	9	7	25	15	36
9	Juventud Unida	24	8	8	8	26	23	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Juventud Unida vs Mercedes?: The Footlab model makes Mercedes the favourite at 37%, against 35% for a draw and 29% for Juventud Unida.
Where and when is Juventud Unida vs Mercedes played?: Juventud Unida vs Mercedes is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Islas Malvinas, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.