Elassona vs Karitsa: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 9Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Elassónas, Elassona
The Footlab AI model makes Elassona the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Karitsa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elassona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elassona vs Karitsa?
On Elo ratings, Elassona has 1,655 points and Karitsa 1,696.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elassona vs Karitsa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elassona
Not enough data to predict the Elassona lineup.
Karitsa
Not enough data to predict the Karitsa lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elassona have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Karitsa have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| May 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 13, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Digenis Neochori(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sarakinos(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Aetos Makrychoriou(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 30, 2021 | Anagennisi Karditsas(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 26, 2021 | Elassona(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Elassona wins, 0 draws, 1 Karitsa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2021 | Elassona 0-2 Karitsa | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Elassona score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karitsa score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elassona | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Karitsa | 1.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elassona sit 4th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (3 points from 2 matches) and Karitsa sit 6th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Elassona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Karitsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Elassona vs Karitsa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elassona vs Karitsa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elassona the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Karitsa.
- Where and when is Elassona vs Karitsa played?
- Elassona vs Karitsa is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Elassónas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.