Elassona vs Pierikos: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 21Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Elassónas, Elassona
The Footlab model makes Elassona the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Pierikos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elassona vs Pierikos?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Elassona (1,576) and Pierikos (1,522).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elassona have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Pierikos have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 13, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 10, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 3, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Veria(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(away) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Elassona win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Pierikos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2023 | Pierikos 1-1 Elassona | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Elassona 0-0 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Elassona score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pierikos score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elassona | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Pierikos | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elassona vs Pierikos?
- The Footlab model makes Elassona the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Pierikos.
- Where and when is Elassona vs Pierikos played?
- Elassona vs Pierikos is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Elassónas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.