Ermis Exochi vs Trikala: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 21Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ermis Exochi the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Trikala. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ermis Exochi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ermis Exochi vs Trikala?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Ermis Exochi (1,627) and Trikala (1,655).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ermis Exochi vs Trikala
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ermis Exochi
Not enough data to predict the Ermis Exochi lineup.
Trikala
4-3-3- 33S. Milopoulos
- 11V. Efthymiou
- 39E. Zisopoulos
- 21C. Ioannidis
- 31C. Niaros
- 4P. Rizogiannis
- 22D. Sandravelis
- 16G. Govinas
- 23Z. Djaloshi
- 3K. Feutchine
- 12A. Përlleshi
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 07:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ermis Exochi have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Trikala have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sarakinos(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa(home) | 4-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Feraios(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Digenis Neochori(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarakinos(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Feraios(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Larisa(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ermis Exochi score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Trikala score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ermis Exochi | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Trikala | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ermis Exochi sit 3rd in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (4 points from 2 matches) and Trikala sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trikala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Ermis Exochi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
A question about Ermis Exochi vs Trikala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ermis Exochi vs Trikala?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ermis Exochi the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Trikala.
- Where and when is Ermis Exochi vs Trikala played?
- Ermis Exochi vs Trikala is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.