Elche vs Deportivo La Coruna: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
The Footlab model makes Elche the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Deportivo La Coruna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elche vs Deportivo La Coruna?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Elche (2,046) and Deportivo La Coruna (2,060).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elche have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Deportivo La Coruna have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al Ain(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Elche win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Deportivo La Coruna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Elche | La Liga |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Deportivo La Coruna 0-4 Elche | Segunda División |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Elche 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna | Segunda División |
| Jun 23, 2020 | Elche 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna | Segunda División |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Deportivo La Coruna 1-3 Elche | Segunda División |
| Jun 4, 2019 | Elche 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche on Aug 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elche score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo La Coruna score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elche sit 18th in La Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Deportivo La Coruna sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 18 | Elche | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elche vs Deportivo La Coruna?
- The Footlab model makes Elche the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Deportivo La Coruna.
- Where and when is Elche vs Deportivo La Coruna played?
- Elche vs Deportivo La Coruna is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.