Elva vs FCI Levadia II: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Elva linnastaadion, Elva
The Footlab model makes Elva the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FCI Levadia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elva vs FCI Levadia II?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Elva (1,384) and FCI Levadia II (1,313).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elva have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FCI Levadia II have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Flora II(home) | 0-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Maardu(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Joker(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tartu Welco(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tartu Welco(away) | 2-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nõmme United II(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elva(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Elva win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FCI Levadia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | FCI Levadia II 2-2 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| May 28, 2026 | FCI Levadia II 1-3 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Elva 3-2 FCI Levadia II | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 23, 2025 | FCI Levadia II 2-1 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Elva 2-0 FCI Levadia II | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Elva 2-2 FCI Levadia II | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: FCI Levadia II vs Elva on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elva score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FCI Levadia II score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elva | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| FCI Levadia II | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elva sit 4th in Esiliiga A (23 points from 16 matches) and FCI Levadia II sit 9th (15 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Elva | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 23 |
| 4 | Elva | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 38 |
| 7 | FCI Levadia II | 25 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 48 | 34 |
| 9 | FCI Levadia II | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elva vs FCI Levadia II?
- The Footlab model makes Elva the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FCI Levadia II.
- Where and when is Elva vs FCI Levadia II played?
- Elva vs FCI Levadia II is played on October 25, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Elva linnastaadion, in the Esiliiga A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.