Elva vs Maardu: result 1-2 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular SeasonKick-off on July 8, 2018 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Elva linnastaadion, Elva
Full time
What was the result of Elva vs Maardu?
Maardu won 1-2 on July 8, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 39′M. ThomsonElva (pen.)
- 40′Vitali GussevMaardu
- 44′Vadim ŠalabaiMaardu
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elva have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Maardu have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2018 | Tartu Santos(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Maardu(away) | 1-8 | Esiliiga A |
| May 27, 2018 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| May 24, 2018 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| May 17, 2018 | Flora II(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2018 | Keila(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Elva(home) | 8-1 | Esiliiga A |
| May 28, 2018 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| May 24, 2018 | Tartu Santos(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| May 20, 2018 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 3-2 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Elva win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Maardu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2018 | Maardu 8-1 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 13, 2017 | Elva 1-1 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 23, 2017 | Maardu 3-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 4, 2017 | Elva 4-3 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 2, 2017 | Maardu 1-2 Elva | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Elva score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Maardu score 2.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elva | 1.5 | 2.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Maardu | 2.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elva sit 4th in Esiliiga A (23 points from 16 matches) and Maardu sit 8th (16 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Elva | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 23 |
| 4 | Elva | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 37 |
| 7 | Maardu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 51 | 32 |
| 8 | Maardu | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy