Schott Mainz vs Hertha Wiesbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, Mainz-Mombach
The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Hertha Wiesbach. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schott Mainz vs Hertha Wiesbach?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Schott Mainz (1,844) and Hertha Wiesbach (1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schott Mainz have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Hertha Wiesbach have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FV Engers 07(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cosmos Koblenz(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ahrweiler(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gonsenheim(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Auersmacher(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elversberg II(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 2-6 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| May 30, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
How many goals should we expect?
Schott Mainz score 1.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha Wiesbach score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schott Mainz | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Hertha Wiesbach | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schott Mainz sit 2nd in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (10 points from 4 matches) and Hertha Wiesbach sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Schott Mainz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 12 | Hertha Wiesbach | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schott Mainz vs Hertha Wiesbach?
- The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Hertha Wiesbach.
- Where and when is Schott Mainz vs Hertha Wiesbach played?
- Schott Mainz vs Hertha Wiesbach is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027PirmasensvsAuersmacher
- Apr 24, 2027TuS RW KoblenzvsGonsenheim
- Apr 24, 2027Cosmos KoblenzvsRW Wittlich
- Apr 24, 2027FC Emmelshausen-KarbachvsTuS Koblenz
- Apr 24, 2027FV Engers 07vsGau-Odernheim
- Apr 24, 2027DiefflenvsMechtersheim
- Apr 24, 2027EisbachtalvsWormatia Worms
- Apr 25, 2027Elversberg IIvsAhrweiler