Emmen vs FC OSS: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
The Footlab model makes Emmen the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for FC OSS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Emmen vs FC OSS?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Emmen (1,683) and FC OSS (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emmen have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; FC OSS have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 6-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Roda(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Twente(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 4-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Emmen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC OSS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | FC OSS 4-0 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Emmen 1-1 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 21, 2025 | FC OSS 0-4 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Emmen 2-0 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Emmen 0-1 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 29, 2023 | FC OSS 0-1 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Emmen score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC OSS score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmen | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| FC OSS | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emmen sit 1st in Eerste Divisie (9 points from 3 matches) and FC OSS sit 19th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 1 | Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 19 | FC OSS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | FC OSS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Emmen vs FC OSS?
- The Footlab model makes Emmen the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for FC OSS.
- Where and when is Emmen vs FC OSS played?
- Emmen vs FC OSS is played on September 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at De Oude Meerdijk, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.