Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)PSV Campus De Herdgang, Eindhoven
The Footlab model makes Jong PSV U21 the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Jong Ajax. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Jong PSV U21 (1,538) and Jong Ajax (1,543).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong PSV U21 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Jong Ajax have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sunderland U21(away) | 1-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 18, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 4-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Jong PSV U21 win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Jong Ajax win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Jong PSV U21 0-1 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Jong Ajax 2-2 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 20, 2025 | Jong Ajax 4-0 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Jong PSV U21 2-2 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Jong Ajax 3-0 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Jong PSV U21 2-2 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong PSV U21 score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Ajax score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV U21 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Jong Ajax | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong PSV U21 sit 11th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Jong Ajax sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax?
- The Footlab model makes Jong PSV U21 the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Jong Ajax.
- Where and when is Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax played?
- Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax is played on August 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at PSV Campus De Herdgang, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.