Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
The Footlab model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht?
Jong AZ starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,584).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong AZ have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Jong Utrecht have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Quick Boys(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | MVV(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Jong AZ win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Jong Utrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Jong AZ 1-4 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Jong Utrecht 0-0 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Jong AZ 5-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 0-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 1-2 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2023 | Jong AZ 1-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Jong AZ score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Utrecht score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ | 2.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Jong Utrecht | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong AZ sit 13th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 3 matches) and Jong Utrecht sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht?
- The Footlab model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht played?
- Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht is played on August 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Trainingscomplex, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.