NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
The Footlab model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for FC Eindhoven. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven?
NAC Breda starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,633).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NAC Breda have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; FC Eindhoven have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFI(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 2-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | MVV(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 NAC Breda win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC Eindhoven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2026 | NAC Breda 0-2 FC Eindhoven | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2024 | NAC Breda 3-0 FC Eindhoven | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 9, 2024 | NAC Breda 2-2 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 25, 2023 | FC Eindhoven 2-0 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 21, 2023 | FC Eindhoven 1-2 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 10, 2023 | NAC Breda 2-1 FC Eindhoven | KNVB Beker |
Last archived meeting: NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven on Jul 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NAC Breda score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Eindhoven score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Eindhoven | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NAC Breda sit 7th in Eerste Divisie (6 points from 3 matches) and FC Eindhoven sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | NAC Breda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven?
- The Footlab model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for FC Eindhoven.
- Where and when is NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven played?
- NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven is played on September 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Rat Verlegh Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.