Hellas Verona vs Palermo: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Hellas Verona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palermo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hellas Verona vs Palermo?
Palermo starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (2,005 vs 1,868).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hellas Verona vs Palermo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hellas Verona
4-4-2- 25D. Mosquera
- 14D. Livramento
- 9A. Sarr
- 17A. Le Borgne
- 44E. Iannoni
- 23N. Lella
- 4G. Zappa
- 27P. Dawidowicz
- 71D. De Battisti
- 5A. Edmundsson
- 34S. Perilli
Palermo
4-2-3-1- 20J. Pohjanpalo
- 8J. Segre
- 10F. Ranocchia
- 9D. Vavassori
- 17D. Johnsen
- 5A. Palumbo
- 3T. Augello
- 13M. Bani
- 32P. Ceccaroni
- 84T. Cassandro
- 14M. Fortin
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hellas Verona have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Palermo have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Modena(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 5-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 4-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Padova(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hellas Verona win, 1 draw, 4 Palermo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2019 | Palermo 1-0 Hellas Verona | Serie B |
| Nov 23, 2018 | Hellas Verona 1-1 Palermo | Serie B |
| May 15, 2016 | Palermo 3-2 Hellas Verona | Serie A |
| Jan 10, 2016 | Hellas Verona 0-1 Palermo | Serie A |
| Feb 1, 2015 | Palermo 2-1 Hellas Verona | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2014 | Hellas Verona 2-1 Palermo | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Palermo vs Hellas Verona on Apr 8, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Hellas Verona score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Palermo score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Palermo | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hellas Verona sit 9th in Serie B (7 points from 6 matches) and Palermo sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Hellas Verona vs Palermo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hellas Verona vs Palermo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Hellas Verona.
- Where and when is Hellas Verona vs Palermo played?
- Hellas Verona vs Palermo is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.