England U20 vs Germany U20: prediction and stats
U20 Elite LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Wembley Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Germany U20 the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for England U20. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win England U20 vs Germany U20?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate England U20 (1,609) and Germany U20 (1,642).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, England U20 have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Germany U20 have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Italy U20(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Japan U20(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Switzerland U20(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Italy U20(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Portugal U20(away) | 1-1 | U20 Elite League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Poland U20(away) | 1-0 | U20 Elite League |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Czechia U20(home) | 2-1 | U20 Elite League |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Italy U20(home) | 5-0 | U20 Elite League |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Romania U20(home) | 6-0 | U20 Elite League |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Portugal U20(away) | 0-1 | U20 Elite League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 England U20 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Germany U20 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | England U20 4-0 Germany U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Nov 20, 2023 | Germany U20 2-3 England U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Mar 22, 2023 | England U20 2-0 Germany U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Mar 29, 2022 | England U20 3-1 Germany U20 | U20 Elite League |
Last archived meeting: England U20 vs Germany U20 on Nov 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
England U20 score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Germany U20 score 2.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England U20 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Germany U20 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for England U20 vs Germany U20?
- The Footlab model makes Germany U20 the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for England U20.
- Where and when is England U20 vs Germany U20 played?
- England U20 vs Germany U20 is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Wembley Stadium, in the U20 Elite League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.