England vs Italy: result 1-1 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on March 27, 2018 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
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What was the result of England vs Italy?
England and Italy drew 1-1 on March 27, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 26′J. VardyEngland
- 87′L. InsigneItaly (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, England have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Italy have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2018 | Netherlands(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2017 | Brazil(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 10, 2017 | Germany(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 8, 2017 | Lithuania(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 5, 2017 | Slovenia(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2018 | Argentina(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 13, 2017 | Sweden(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 10, 2017 | Sweden(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 9, 2017 | Albania(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 6, 2017 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 England win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Italy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2014 | England 1-2 Italy | World Cup |
| Jun 24, 2012 | England 0-0 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
England score 1.4 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 2.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | 1.4 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Italy | 2.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy