England vs Italy: result 1-1 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on March 27, 2018 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
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What was the result of England vs Italy?
England and Italy drew 1-1 on March 27, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 26′J. VardyEngland
- 87′L. InsigneItaly (pen.)
Official lineup for England vs Italy
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
England
3-5-2- 10R. Sterling
- 9J. Vardy
- 8E. Dier
- 11J. Lingard
- 7A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
- 5J. Stones
- 6J. Tarkowski
- 2K. Trippier
- 4K. Walker
- 3A. Young
- 1J. Butland
Italy
4-3-3- 10L. Insigne
- 17C. Immobile
- 16L. Pellegrini
- 14Jorginho
- 18M. Parolo
- 6A. Candreva
- 21D. Zappacosta
- 15D. Rugani
- 2M. De Sciglio
- 19L. Bonucci
- 26G. Donnarumma
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, England have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Italy have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2018 | Netherlands(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2017 | Brazil(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 10, 2017 | Germany(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 8, 2017 | Lithuania(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 5, 2017 | Slovenia(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2018 | Argentina(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 13, 2017 | Sweden(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 10, 2017 | Sweden(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 9, 2017 | Albania(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 6, 2017 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 England wins, 1 draw, 1 Italy win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2014 | England 1-2 Italy | World Cup |
| Jun 24, 2012 | England 0-0 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
England score 1.4 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 2.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | 1.4 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Italy | 2.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about England vs Italy?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy