Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar: result 0-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on October 13, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio de Malabo, Malabo
Full time
What was the result of Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar?
Madagascar won 0-1 on October 13, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 19′3150Madagascar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Equatorial Guinea have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Madagascar have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2018 | Sudan(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| May 28, 2018 | Kenya(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jan 23, 2018 | Nigeria(home) | 1-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 19, 2018 | Rwanda(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 15, 2018 | Libya(away) | 0-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Senegal(home) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Kosovo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Togo(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Comoros(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Aug 18, 2017 | Angola(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Equatorial Guinea score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Madagascar score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equatorial Guinea | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Madagascar | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy