Match

Erkenschwick vs Arminia II: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 25Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stimberg-Stadion, Oer-Erkenschwick

ErkenschwickArminia II

The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Arminia II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erkenschwick vs Arminia II?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Erkenschwick (1,649) and Arminia II (1,715).

Erkenschwick win38 %
Draw25 %
Arminia II win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erkenschwick have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Arminia II have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erkenschwick
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gievenbeck(away)1-0Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Ennepetal(home)1-0Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026TuS Hordel(away)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026Vreden(away)0-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09(home)1-5Oberliga - Westfalen
Arminia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Schermbeck(away)4-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 15, 2026Eintracht Rheine(home)1-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 8, 2026Sprockhovel(away)2-2Oberliga - Westfalen
May 30, 2026Gievenbeck(away)0-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026Rot Weiss Ahlen(home)2-0Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Erkenschwick win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Arminia II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2026Erkenschwick 0-0 Arminia IIOberliga - Westfalen
Oct 5, 2025Arminia II 3-1 ErkenschwickOberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Erkenschwick vs Arminia II on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Erkenschwick0.91.567/156/15
Arminia II1.71.549/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Erkenschwick sit 3rd in Oberliga - Westfalen (7 points from 3 matches) and Arminia II sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Erkenschwick3210317
8Arminia II3111754

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erkenschwick vs Arminia II?
The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Arminia II.
Where and when is Erkenschwick vs Arminia II played?
Erkenschwick vs Arminia II is played on March 29, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stimberg-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Erkenschwick and Arminia II

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