Match

Verl II vs Erkenschwick: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 26Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl

Verl IIErkenschwick

The Footlab model makes Verl II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Erkenschwick. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Verl II vs Erkenschwick?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Verl II (1,644) and Erkenschwick (1,649).

Verl II win42 %
Draw25 %
Erkenschwick win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Erkenschwick have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Verl II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Eintracht Rheine(away)1-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Sprockhovel(home)3-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Jul 11, 2026Hannover 96 II(away)0-8Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026Gievenbeck(home)3-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 17, 2026Rot Weiss Ahlen(home)1-4Oberliga - Westfalen
Erkenschwick
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gievenbeck(away)1-0Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Ennepetal(home)1-0Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026TuS Hordel(away)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026Vreden(away)0-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09(home)1-5Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Verl II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Erkenschwick win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Verl II 0-1 ErkenschwickOberliga - Westfalen
Sep 28, 2025Erkenschwick 2-2 Verl IIOberliga - Westfalen
Mar 19, 2025Verl II 1-1 ErkenschwickOberliga - Westfalen
Aug 18, 2024Erkenschwick 5-0 Verl IIOberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Verl II vs Erkenschwick on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Verl II score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Verl II1.42.038/159/15
Erkenschwick0.91.567/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Verl II sit 5th in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 3 matches) and Erkenschwick sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Erkenschwick3210317
5Verl II3201646

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Verl II vs Erkenschwick?
The Footlab model makes Verl II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Erkenschwick.
Where and when is Verl II vs Erkenschwick played?
Verl II vs Erkenschwick is played on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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