Verl II vs Erkenschwick: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 26Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl
The Footlab model makes Verl II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Erkenschwick. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verl II vs Erkenschwick?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Verl II (1,644) and Erkenschwick (1,649).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Erkenschwick have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Rheine(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sprockhovel(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 17, 2026 | Rot Weiss Ahlen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Verl II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Erkenschwick win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Verl II 0-1 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Erkenschwick 2-2 Verl II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Verl II 1-1 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Erkenschwick 5-0 Verl II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Verl II vs Erkenschwick on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Verl II score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verl II | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Erkenschwick | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verl II sit 5th in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 3 matches) and Erkenschwick sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erkenschwick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Verl II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verl II vs Erkenschwick?
- The Footlab model makes Verl II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Erkenschwick.
- Where and when is Verl II vs Erkenschwick played?
- Verl II vs Erkenschwick is played on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2027Eintracht RheinevsMaaslingen
- Apr 4, 2027VredenvsTuS Hordel
- Apr 4, 2027HiltrupvsGievenbeck
- Apr 4, 2027Victoria ClarholzvsPreußen Münster II
- Apr 4, 2027Arminia IIvsWestfalia Kinderhaus
- Apr 4, 2027ASC DortmundvsEnnepetal
- Apr 4, 2027SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsLippstadt 08
- Apr 4, 2027SprockhovelvsSchermbeck