Ermis Exochi vs Anthoupoli: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 12Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Ermis Exochi the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Anthoupoli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ermis Exochi vs Anthoupoli?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Ermis Exochi (1,537) and Anthoupoli (1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ermis Exochi have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Anthoupoli have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Veria(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Pierikos(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(away) | 2-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | A. Schimatari(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Nea Selefkia(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Proodos Rogon(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Lefkimmi(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Anagennisi Artas(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ermis Exochi score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Anthoupoli score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ermis Exochi | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Anthoupoli | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ermis Exochi vs Anthoupoli?
- The Footlab model makes Ermis Exochi the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Anthoupoli.
- Where and when is Ermis Exochi vs Anthoupoli played?
- Ermis Exochi vs Anthoupoli is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.