Iraklis Larissa vs Pierikos: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 12Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Larissa
The Footlab AI model makes Iraklis Larissa the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Pierikos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Iraklis Larissa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,253 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iraklis Larissa vs Pierikos?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Iraklis Larissa (1,513) and Pierikos (1,595).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Iraklis Larissa vs Pierikos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Iraklis Larissa
4-3-3- 90F. Keri
- 95D. Casas
- 9O. Syrengelas
- 3K. Kamperis
- 31S. Gougoudis
- 25L. Bossio
- 4A. Galitsios
- 80D. Tasioulis
- 46G. Lagonidis
- 13M. Giannitsis
- 1S. Farmakis
Pierikos
4-3-3- 10K. Chartsias
- 33V. Papadopoulos
- 30A. Kanoulas
- 5G. Krimitzas
- 26A. Dinas
- 77A. Fokaidis
- 3A. Panteliadis
- 22T. Gialamidis
- 18C. Koukolis
- 2S. Topalidis
- 19G. Galanis
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 05:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iraklis Larissa have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Pierikos have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trikala(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pierikos(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Veria(away) | 0-3 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Digenis Neochori(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarakinos(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Veria(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Iraklis Larissa wins, 1 draw, 2 Pierikos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pierikos 3-1 Iraklis Larissa | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Jan 12, 2020 | Iraklis Larissa 0-0 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Pierikos 4-0 Iraklis Larissa | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Pierikos vs Iraklis Larissa on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Iraklis Larissa score 0.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pierikos score 0.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis Larissa | 0.5 | 1.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Pierikos | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iraklis Larissa sit 10th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (0 points from 2 matches) and Pierikos sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pierikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Iraklis Larissa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Iraklis Larissa vs Pierikos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iraklis Larissa vs Pierikos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Iraklis Larissa the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Pierikos.
- Where and when is Iraklis Larissa vs Pierikos played?
- Iraklis Larissa vs Pierikos is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.