Sarakinos vs Karitsa: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 12Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Karitsa the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sarakinos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karitsa wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarakinos vs Karitsa?
Karitsa starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,566).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sarakinos vs Karitsa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sarakinos
Not enough data to predict the Sarakinos lineup.
Karitsa
Not enough data to predict the Karitsa lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarakinos have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Karitsa have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trikala(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pierikos(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Karitsa(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kozani(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Eordaikos(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Digenis Neochori(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sarakinos(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Aetos Makrychoriou(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 30, 2021 | Anagennisi Karditsas(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 26, 2021 | Elassona(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Sarakinos wins, 0 draws, 1 Karitsa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Karitsa 2-1 Sarakinos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sarakinos score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karitsa score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarakinos | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Karitsa | 1.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarakinos sit 7th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (3 points from 2 matches) and Karitsa sit 6th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Karitsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sarakinos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Sarakinos vs Karitsa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarakinos vs Karitsa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karitsa the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sarakinos.
- Where and when is Sarakinos vs Karitsa played?
- Sarakinos vs Karitsa is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.