Where and when is Erzgebirge Aue vs Chemnitzer FC played?

Erzgebirge Aue vs Chemnitzer FC is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Erzgebirgsstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Erzgebirge Aue vs Chemnitzer FC: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 22Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue

Erzgebirge Aue

Chemnitzer FC

The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Erzgebirge Aue. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs Chemnitzer FC?

Chemnitzer FC starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,840).

Erzgebirge Aue win28 %

Draw25 %

Chemnitzer FC win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erzgebirge Aue have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Chemnitzer FC have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erzgebirge Aue
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Hertha BSC II(home)	0-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 22, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(home)	0-4	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Chemnitzer FC(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	BFC Preussen(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 6, 2026	BFC Dynamo(home)	3-2	Regionalliga - Nordost

Chemnitzer FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(away)	2-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(home)	3-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	FSV Zwickau(home)	3-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	BFC Preussen(home)	3-0	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Erzgebirge Aue win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chemnitzer FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Chemnitzer FC 3-1 Erzgebirge Aue	Regionalliga - Nordost
Apr 24, 2016	Erzgebirge Aue 2-0 Chemnitzer FC	3. Liga
Nov 7, 2015	Chemnitzer FC 1-2 Erzgebirge Aue	3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs Erzgebirge Aue on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Erzgebirge Aue score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Erzgebirge Aue	2.4	1.7	5	9/15	11/15
Chemnitzer FC	2.4	1.0	6	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Erzgebirge Aue sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 5 matches) and Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Chemnitzer FC	6	5	1	0	15	2	16
5	Erzgebirge Aue	5	3	1	1	11	9	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erzgebirge Aue vs Chemnitzer FC?: The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Erzgebirge Aue.
Where and when is Erzgebirge Aue vs Chemnitzer FC played?: Erzgebirge Aue vs Chemnitzer FC is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Erzgebirgsstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.