Luckenwalde vs FSV Zwickau: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 22Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, Luckenwalde
The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luckenwalde vs FSV Zwickau?
FSV Zwickau starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luckenwalde have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; FSV Zwickau have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Luckenwalde win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 FSV Zwickau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau 2-1 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Luckenwalde 0-1 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 1, 2025 | FSV Zwickau 3-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Luckenwalde 0-1 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 20, 2024 | FSV Zwickau 1-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Luckenwalde 0-1 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FSV Zwickau vs Luckenwalde on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Zwickau score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| FSV Zwickau | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luckenwalde sit 15th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 6 matches) and FSV Zwickau sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luckenwalde vs FSV Zwickau?
- The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is Luckenwalde vs FSV Zwickau played?
- Luckenwalde vs FSV Zwickau is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsChemnitzer FC
- Feb 21, 2027Hallescher FCvsAltglienicke
- Feb 21, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Feb 21, 2027BFC DynamovsHertha BSC II
- Feb 21, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsTasmania Berlin
- Feb 21, 2027RSV EintrachtvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Feb 21, 2027Greifswalder FCvsBFC Preussen
- Feb 21, 2027Magdeburg IIvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt