Match

Lokomotive Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 22Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bruno-Plache-Stadion, Leipzig

Lokomotive LeipzigTasmania Berlin

The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin?

Lokomotive Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,989 vs 1,818).

Lokomotive Leipzig win58 %
Draw22 %
Tasmania Berlin win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotive Leipzig have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tasmania Berlin have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lokomotive Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Chemnitzer FC(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 16, 2026Tasmania Berlin(away)3-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Hertha BSC II(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026BFC Preussen(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026Magdeburg II(home)3-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Tasmania Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Luckenwalde(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)0-6Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-5Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Tasmania Berlin 2-3 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Apr 9, 2022Tasmania Berlin 1-1 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Oct 16, 2021Lokomotive Leipzig 5-0 Tasmania BerlinRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lokomotive Leipzig1.81.7211/1510/15
Tasmania Berlin2.32.539/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 6 matches) and Tasmania Berlin sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Lokomotive Leipzig6312121110
16Tasmania Berlin51046183

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin?
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Tasmania Berlin.
Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin played?
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lokomotive Leipzig and Tasmania Berlin

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