Lokomotive Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 22Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bruno-Plache-Stadion, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin?
Lokomotive Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,989 vs 1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotive Leipzig have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tasmania Berlin have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin 2-3 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Tasmania Berlin 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Lokomotive Leipzig 5-0 Tasmania Berlin | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 6 matches) and Tasmania Berlin sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Tasmania Berlin.
- Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin played?
- Lokomotive Leipzig vs Tasmania Berlin is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsChemnitzer FC
- Feb 21, 2027Hallescher FCvsAltglienicke
- Feb 21, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Feb 21, 2027BFC DynamovsHertha BSC II
- Feb 21, 2027LuckenwaldevsFSV Zwickau
- Feb 21, 2027RSV EintrachtvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Feb 21, 2027Greifswalder FCvsBFC Preussen
- Feb 21, 2027Magdeburg IIvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt