Magdeburg II vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 22Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Platz 2 MCDD-Arena, Magdeburg
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Magdeburg II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magdeburg II vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Magdeburg II (1,927) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (2,021).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magdeburg II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 6-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Magdeburg II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-1 Magdeburg II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Magdeburg II 2-3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 31, 2025 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 3-1 Magdeburg II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Magdeburg II on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Magdeburg II score 2.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg II | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Magdeburg II sit 4th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 6 matches) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Magdeburg II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magdeburg II vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Magdeburg II.
- Where and when is Magdeburg II vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?
- Magdeburg II vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Platz 2 MCDD-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsChemnitzer FC
- Feb 21, 2027Hallescher FCvsAltglienicke
- Feb 21, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Feb 21, 2027BFC DynamovsHertha BSC II
- Feb 21, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsTasmania Berlin
- Feb 21, 2027LuckenwaldevsFSV Zwickau
- Feb 21, 2027RSV EintrachtvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Feb 21, 2027Greifswalder FCvsBFC Preussen