ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Olympique de Sousse, Sousse (Sūsah)
The Footlab model makes ES Sahel the favourite at 55%, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate ES Sahel (1,826) and Jeunesse Sportive Omrane (1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Sahel have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Jeunesse Sportive Omrane have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | CA Bizertin(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | ES Tunis(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| May 21, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| May 12, 2026 | AS Marsa(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Olympique Béja(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 ES Sahel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | ES Sahel 1-0 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 3-1 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1-4 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | ES Sahel 3-0 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Sahel score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jeunesse Sportive Omrane score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Sahel | 1.3 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Sahel sit 12th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Jeunesse Sportive Omrane sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | ES Sahel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane?
- The Footlab model makes ES Sahel the favourite at 55%, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane.
- Where and when is ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane played?
- ES Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Olympique de Sousse, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.