ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif Abdessalem Kazouz, Zarzis
The Footlab model makes ES Zarzis the favourite at 41%, against 36% for a draw and 23% for US Monastirienne. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate ES Zarzis (1,852) and US Monastirienne (1,882).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Zarzis have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; US Monastirienne have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | ES Tunis(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | CA Bizertin(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | AS Soliman(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | JS Kairouanaise(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | AS Gabes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ES Zarzis win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 US Monastirienne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | US Monastirienne 0-0 ES Zarzis | Cup |
| Feb 15, 2026 | US Monastirienne 3-0 ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | ES Zarzis 0-1 US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | ES Zarzis 1-2 US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | US Monastirienne 0-0 ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 13, 2022 | US Monastirienne 0-1 ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: US Monastirienne vs ES Zarzis on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Zarzis score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; US Monastirienne score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 21% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Zarzis | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| US Monastirienne | 0.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 0/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Zarzis sit 6th in Ligue 1 (41 points from 30 matches) and US Monastirienne sit 5th (45 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | US Monastirienne | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 18 | 45 |
| 6 | ES Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne?
- The Footlab model makes ES Zarzis the favourite at 41%, against 36% for a draw and 23% for US Monastirienne.
- Where and when is ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne played?
- ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif Abdessalem Kazouz, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.