ES Sahel vs Club Africain: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Olympique de Sousse, Sousse (Sūsah)
The Footlab model makes Club Africain the favourite at 38%, against 36% for a draw and 26% for ES Sahel. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Sahel vs Club Africain?
Club Africain starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Sahel have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Club Africain have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | CA Bizertin(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Olympique Béja(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | AS Soliman(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ES Sahel win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Club Africain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Club Africain 3-0 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | ES Sahel 0-1 Club Africain | Ligue 1 |
| May 11, 2025 | Club Africain 0-2 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 5, 2025 | ES Sahel 2-2 Club Africain | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Club Africain 0-0 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | ES Sahel 0-0 Club Africain | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Club Africain vs ES Sahel on Jan 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Sahel score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Club Africain score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Sahel | 1.3 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Club Africain | 1.7 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Sahel sit 12th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Club Africain sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Africain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | ES Sahel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Sahel vs Club Africain?
- The Footlab model makes Club Africain the favourite at 38%, against 36% for a draw and 26% for ES Sahel.
- Where and when is ES Sahel vs Club Africain played?
- ES Sahel vs Club Africain is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Olympique de Sousse, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.