Esan Pattaya vs Chainat: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Nong Prue Stadium, Pattaya
The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Chainat. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Chainat?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Esan Pattaya (1,453) and Chainat (1,425).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esan Pattaya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Chainat have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Esan Pattaya win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Chainat win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chainat 1-2 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Esan Pattaya 2-2 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Chainat 0-2 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Esan Pattaya 1-1 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Esan Pattaya 0-0 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Chainat 1-4 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Esan Pattaya on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esan Pattaya | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Chainat | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esan Pattaya sit 12th in Thai League 2 (42 points from 34 matches) and Chainat sit 6th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chainat | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 46 |
| 12 | Esan Pattaya | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esan Pattaya vs Chainat?
- The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Chainat.
- Where and when is Esan Pattaya vs Chainat played?
- Esan Pattaya vs Chainat is played on January 16, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Nong Prue Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 15, 2027KanchanaburivsNakhon Pathom
- Jan 16, 2027Phrae UnitedvsMuang Loei United
- Jan 16, 2027Nong Bua PitchayavsUttaradit
- Jan 16, 2027Kasetsart FCvsChanthaburi
- Jan 17, 2027SongkhlavsPolice Tero
- Jan 17, 2027Muangthong UnitedvsSatun
- Jan 17, 2027Khon Kaen UnitedvsChiangmai United
- Jan 17, 2027Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsMahasarakham United