Match

Esan Pattaya vs Chainat: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Nong Prue Stadium, Pattaya

Esan PattayaChainat

The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Chainat. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Chainat?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Esan Pattaya (1,453) and Chainat (1,425).

Esan Pattaya win50 %
Draw25 %
Chainat win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esan Pattaya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Chainat have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Esan Pattaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Chainat(away)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Sisaket United(home)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Phrae United(away)0-0Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Kasetsart FC(home)3-0Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-1Thai League 2
Chainat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 2, 2026Pattani(home)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Trat FC(away)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Police Tero(home)2-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Esan Pattaya win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Chainat win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Chainat 1-2 Esan PattayaThai League 2
Aug 16, 2025Esan Pattaya 2-2 ChainatThai League 2
Jan 4, 2025Chainat 0-2 Esan PattayaThai League 2
Aug 18, 2024Esan Pattaya 1-1 ChainatThai League 2
Mar 30, 2024Esan Pattaya 0-0 ChainatThai League 2
Dec 10, 2023Chainat 1-4 Esan PattayaThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Esan Pattaya on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Esan Pattaya1.51.157/158/15
Chainat1.31.8112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Esan Pattaya sit 12th in Thai League 2 (42 points from 34 matches) and Chainat sit 6th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Chainat34121012504646
12Esan Pattaya34101212454242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Esan Pattaya vs Chainat?
The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Chainat.
Where and when is Esan Pattaya vs Chainat played?
Esan Pattaya vs Chainat is played on January 16, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Nong Prue Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Esan Pattaya and Chainat

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