Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Uttaradit: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu
The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Uttaradit. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Uttaradit?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511) and Uttaradit (1,424).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Uttaradit have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Dec 28, 2025 | BG Pathum United(home) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Pattaya City(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Siwilai(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Uttaradit score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
| Uttaradit | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59 | 59 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Uttaradit?
- The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Uttaradit.
- Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Uttaradit played?
- Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Uttaradit is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Jan 16, 2027Esan PattayavsChainat
- Jan 16, 2027Kasetsart FCvsChanthaburi
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- Jan 17, 2027Khon Kaen UnitedvsChiangmai United
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