Match

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Uttaradit: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu

Nong Bua PitchayaUttaradit

The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Uttaradit. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Uttaradit?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511) and Uttaradit (1,424).

Nong Bua Pitchaya win56 %
Draw24 %
Uttaradit win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Uttaradit have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nong Bua Pitchaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 16, 2026Pattani(home)2-1Thai League 2
May 9, 2026Police Tero(home)3-1Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Police Tero(away)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)3-3Thai League 2
Uttaradit
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 14, 2026Ayutthaya FC(away)0-3FA Cup
Dec 28, 2025BG Pathum United(home)0-4League Cup
Dec 21, 2025Pattaya City(home)1-0FA Cup
Nov 27, 2025Kasetsart FC(home)2-1League Cup
Oct 30, 2025Siwilai(away)2-0FA Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Uttaradit score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nong Bua Pitchaya2.12.1014/1514/15
Uttaradit1.61.828/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Nong Bua Pitchaya3416612595954

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Uttaradit?
The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Uttaradit.
Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Uttaradit played?
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Uttaradit is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nong Bua Pitchaya and Uttaradit

Ready to know everything about football?