Muangthong United vs Satun: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 19Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Thunder Dome Stadium, Nonthaburi
The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Satun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muangthong United vs Satun?
Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,616 vs 1,421).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muangthong United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Satun have 3, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Muang Trang United(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Muangthong United(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Kanchanaburi(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Muangthong United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Satun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | Satun 1-3 Muangthong United | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Satun vs Muangthong United on Mar 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muangthong United | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Satun | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muangthong United vs Satun?
- The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Satun.
- Where and when is Muangthong United vs Satun played?
- Muangthong United vs Satun is played on January 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Thunder Dome Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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