Match

Muangthong United vs Satun: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 19Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Thunder Dome Stadium, Nonthaburi

Muangthong UnitedSatun

The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Satun. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Muangthong United vs Satun?

Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,616 vs 1,421).

Muangthong United win54 %
Draw24 %
Satun win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muangthong United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Satun have 3, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Muangthong United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Sukhothai FC(away)0-3Thai League 1
May 1, 2026BG Pathum United(home)1-1Thai League 1
Apr 26, 2026Chonburi FC(away)0-0Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home)2-1Thai League 1
Apr 5, 2026Chiangrai United(home)2-1Thai League 1
Satun
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 28, 2025Lamphun Warrior(home)0-2League Cup
Sep 1, 2024Muang Trang United(home)1-1League Cup
Mar 13, 2024Muangthong United(home)1-3League Cup
Dec 6, 2023Nakhon Pathom(home)2-0League Cup
Oct 25, 2023Kanchanaburi(home)2-1League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Muangthong United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Satun win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 13, 2024Satun 1-3 Muangthong UnitedLeague Cup

Last archived meeting: Satun vs Muangthong United on Mar 13, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Muangthong United0.81.638/158/15
Satun1.71.223/63/6

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Muangthong United vs Satun?
The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Satun.
Where and when is Muangthong United vs Satun played?
Muangthong United vs Satun is played on January 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Thunder Dome Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Muangthong United and Satun

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