Muangthong United vs Satun: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 19Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Thunder Dome Stadium, Nonthaburi
The Footlab AI model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Satun. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muangthong United vs Satun?
Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,437).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Muangthong United vs Satun
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Muangthong United
4-2-3-1- 45M. Saric
- 14S. Panthong
- 34K. Khamyok
- 6J. Strauß
- 7Willian Popp
- 24A. Ahannach
- 27M. Kempter
- 4S. Tsonkov
- 28Kim Dong-Su
- 19T. Do
- 33K. Pipatnadda
Satun
4-3-3- 93Douglas Starnley Ferreira
- 44Kittiphong Khetpara
- 27Ajayi Opeyemi Korede
- 7C. Nakkaree
- 11E. Zaerko
- 77W. Nakkari
- 34Kittikon Khetpara
- 35N. Hehna
- 39W. Donmngkan
- 16C. Yara
- 38W. Panboot
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muangthong United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Satun have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Muang Loei United(away) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 4-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Chanthaburi(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Uttaradit(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Muangthong United win, 0 draws, 1 Satun win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Satun 3-0 Muangthong United | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Satun 1-3 Muangthong United | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Satun vs Muangthong United on Sep 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Muangthong United score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muangthong United | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Satun | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Muangthong United sit 7th in Thai League 2 (14 points from 9 matches) and Satun sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Satun | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 7 | Muangthong United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
A question about Muangthong United vs Satun?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muangthong United vs Satun?
- The Footlab AI model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Satun.
- Where and when is Muangthong United vs Satun played?
- Muangthong United vs Satun is played on January 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Thunder Dome Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 15, 2027KanchanaburivsNakhon Pathom
- Jan 16, 2027Phrae UnitedvsMuang Loei United
- Jan 16, 2027Esan PattayavsChainat
- Jan 16, 2027Nong Bua PitchayavsUttaradit
- Jan 16, 2027Kasetsart FCvsChanthaburi
- Jan 17, 2027SongkhlavsPolice Tero
- Jan 17, 2027Khon Kaen UnitedvsChiangmai United
- Jan 17, 2027Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsMahasarakham United