Match

Chainat vs Esan Pattaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat

ChainatEsan Pattaya

The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Esan Pattaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chainat vs Esan Pattaya?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Chainat (1,425) and Esan Pattaya (1,453).

Chainat win43 %
Draw27 %
Esan Pattaya win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Esan Pattaya have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chainat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 2, 2026Pattani(home)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Trat FC(away)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Police Tero(home)2-1Thai League 2
Esan Pattaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Chainat(away)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Sisaket United(home)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Phrae United(away)0-0Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Kasetsart FC(home)3-0Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chainat win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Esan Pattaya win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Chainat 1-2 Esan PattayaThai League 2
Aug 16, 2025Esan Pattaya 2-2 ChainatThai League 2
Jan 4, 2025Chainat 0-2 Esan PattayaThai League 2
Aug 18, 2024Esan Pattaya 1-1 ChainatThai League 2
Mar 30, 2024Esan Pattaya 0-0 ChainatThai League 2
Dec 10, 2023Chainat 1-4 Esan PattayaThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Esan Pattaya on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chainat1.31.8112/159/15
Esan Pattaya1.51.157/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chainat sit 6th in Thai League 2 (46 points from 34 matches) and Esan Pattaya sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Chainat34121012504646
12Esan Pattaya34101212454242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Esan Pattaya?
The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Esan Pattaya.
Where and when is Chainat vs Esan Pattaya played?
Chainat vs Esan Pattaya is played on September 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chainat and Esan Pattaya

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