Phrae United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Huaimah Stadium, Huai Ma
The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phrae United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Phrae United (1,445) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phrae United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Phrae United win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Phrae United 0-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-0 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-2 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Phrae United 2-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Phrae United 0-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-2 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Phrae United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya on Feb 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phrae United | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phrae United sit 11th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59 | 59 | 54 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phrae United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
- The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
- Where and when is Phrae United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?
- Phrae United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on November 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Huaimah Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 21, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsNakhon Pathom
- Nov 21, 2026ChainatvsMuangthong United
- Nov 21, 2026Esan PattayavsKasetsart FC
- Nov 22, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsKhon Kaen United
- Nov 22, 2026SongkhlavsKanchanaburi
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