Match

Phrae United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Huaimah Stadium, Huai Ma

Phrae UnitedNong Bua Pitchaya

The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Phrae United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Phrae United (1,445) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).

Phrae United win44 %
Draw24 %
Nong Bua Pitchaya win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phrae United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Phrae United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Police Tero(away)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)0-0Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)2-2Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Songkhla(away)0-0Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 16, 2026Pattani(home)2-1Thai League 2
May 9, 2026Police Tero(home)3-1Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Police Tero(away)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)3-3Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Phrae United win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 11, 2026Phrae United 0-1 Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2
Sep 27, 2025Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-0 Phrae UnitedThai League 2
Jan 13, 2024Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-2 Phrae UnitedThai League 2
Aug 26, 2023Phrae United 2-0 Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2
Feb 20, 2021Phrae United 0-1 Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2
Sep 20, 2020Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-2 Phrae UnitedThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Phrae United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya on Feb 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Phrae United0.91.847/158/15
Nong Bua Pitchaya2.12.1014/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Phrae United sit 11th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th (54 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Nong Bua Pitchaya3416612595954
11Phrae United34101311405043

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Phrae United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Where and when is Phrae United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?
Phrae United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on November 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Huaimah Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Phrae United and Nong Bua Pitchaya

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