Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg
The Footlab model makes Aarhus Fremad the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Esbjerg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Esbjerg (1,833) and Aarhus Fremad (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esbjerg have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Aarhus Fremad have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vejle(away) | 2-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hobro(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hvidovre(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bogense(away) | 6-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hillerød(away) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Fredericia(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hillerød(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | HB Koge(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ringkøbing(away) | 4-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Aalborg(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Esbjerg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Aarhus Fremad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Esbjerg 2-0 Aarhus Fremad | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Aarhus Fremad 0-1 Esbjerg | 1. Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Esbjerg 1-1 Aarhus Fremad | 1. Division |
| May 18, 2024 | Aarhus Fremad 2-0 Esbjerg | 2. Division |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Esbjerg 0-1 Aarhus Fremad | 2. Division |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Esbjerg 2-2 Aarhus Fremad | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Esbjerg score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Aarhus Fremad score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esbjerg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Aarhus Fremad | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esbjerg sit 9th in 1. Division (4 points from 5 matches) and Aarhus Fremad sit 5th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aarhus Fremad | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Esbjerg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad?
- The Footlab model makes Aarhus Fremad the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Esbjerg.
- Where and when is Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad played?
- Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Blue Water Arena, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.