Estac Troyes vs Bastia: result 1-0 and analysis
Ligue 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on September 9, 2011 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
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What was the result of Estac Troyes vs Bastia?
Estac Troyes won 1-0 on September 9, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 7′Raphaël CaceresEstac Troyes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estac Troyes have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Bastia have 3, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2011 | Laval(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 19, 2011 | Angers(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Lens(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Monaco(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 29, 2011 | Amiens(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2011 | Clermont Foot(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 19, 2011 | Le Havre(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 12, 2011 | Le Mans(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 5, 2011 | Nantes(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 29, 2011 | Istres(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estac Troyes score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bastia score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Bastia | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 3/6 | 2/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estac Troyes sit 1st in Ligue 2 (67 points from 34 matches) and Bastia sit 17th (28 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estac Troyes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 67 |
| 17 | Bastia | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23 | 39 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy