Estac Troyes vs Lille: result 1-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 15, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
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What was the result of Estac Troyes vs Lille?
Estac Troyes and Lille drew 1-1 on September 15, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 38′D. PayetLille
- 88′S. GraxEstac Troyes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estac Troyes have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Lille have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2012 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Lorient(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Lyon(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Valenciennes(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 18, 2012 | Amiens(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2012 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2012 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Nice(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 21, 2012 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 17, 2012 | Nancy(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estac Troyes score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lille score 1.8 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Lille | 1.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estac Troyes sit 13th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Lille sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Estac Troyes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy