Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Stade Brestois 29. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lille wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
Lille starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (2,119 vs 1,954).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lille vs Stade Brestois 29
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lille
4-2-3-1- 18A. Ueda
- 10H. Haraldsson
- 6N. Bentaleb
- 19B. Önal
- 8E. Mbappé
- 21B. André
- 4Alexsandro Ribeiro
- 22Tiago Santos
- 3N. Ngoy
- 15R. Perraud
- 1B. Özer
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1- 19L. Ajorque
- 13J. Chotard
- 8H. Magnetti
- 23K. Doumbia
- 9P. Mboup
- 10G. Versini
- 2B. Locko
- 4G. Lloris
- 71R. Le Guen
- 70K. Lala
- 1E. Selvik
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Stade Brestois 29 have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Monza(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lille wins, 3 draws, 1 Stade Brestois 29 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lille 1-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 3-3 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Lille 3-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Lille 1-0 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Brestois 29 score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lille sit 4th in Ligue 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Stade Brestois 29 sit 11th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Stade Brestois 29.
- Where and when is Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 played?
- Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.