Estrela U23 vs Rio Ave U23: prediction and stats
Liga Revelação U23Regular Season - 13Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio das Seixas, Malveira, Mafra
The Footlab AI model makes Rio Ave U23 the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Estrela U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rio Ave U23 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estrela U23 vs Rio Ave U23?
Rio Ave U23 starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,652 vs 1,546).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estrela U23 vs Rio Ave U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estrela U23
Not enough data to predict the Estrela U23 lineup.
Rio Ave U23
Not enough data to predict the Rio Ave U23 lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela U23 have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Rio Ave U23 have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Famalicão U23(away) | 1-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Felgueiras U23(away) | 1-3 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Moreirense U23(home) | 2-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | União Leiria U23(home) | 2-0 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Sporting CP U23(home) | 1-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Felgueiras U23(away) | 2-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Moreirense U23(home) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Penafiel U23(home) | 1-0 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sporting Braga U23(home) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Famalicão U23(away) | 1-0 | Liga Revelação U23 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Estrela U23 win, 0 draws, 1 Rio Ave U23 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Estrela U23 1-0 Rio Ave U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Rio Ave U23 2-1 Estrela U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
Last archived meeting: Estrela U23 vs Rio Ave U23 on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela U23 score 0.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rio Ave U23 score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela U23 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Rio Ave U23 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela U23 sit 19th in Liga Revelação U23 (5 points from 8 matches) and Rio Ave U23 sit 4th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rio Ave U23 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 19 | Estrela U23 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Estrela U23 vs Rio Ave U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estrela U23 vs Rio Ave U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rio Ave U23 the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Estrela U23.
- Where and when is Estrela U23 vs Rio Ave U23 played?
- Estrela U23 vs Rio Ave U23 is played on December 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio das Seixas, in the Liga Revelação U23.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 1, 2026Benfica U23vsFamalicão U23
- Dec 1, 2026Leixões U23vsMoreirense U23
- Dec 1, 2026Marítimo U23vsFarense U23
- Dec 1, 2026Sporting CP U23vsPortimonense U23
- Dec 1, 2026Vizela U23vsSporting Braga U23
- Dec 1, 2026Gil Vicente U23vsTorreense U23
- Dec 1, 2026Academico Viseu U23vsSanta Clara U23
- Dec 1, 2026União Leiria U23vsFelgueiras U23