Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23: prediction and stats
Liga Revelação U23Regular Season - 13Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo da Imaculada Conceição, Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)
The Footlab AI model makes Farense U23 the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Marítimo U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Farense U23 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23?
Farense U23 starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,652 vs 1,513).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marítimo U23
Not enough data to predict the Marítimo U23 lineup.
Farense U23
Not enough data to predict the Farense U23 lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marítimo U23 have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Farense U23 have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sporting Braga U23(away) | 3-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Benfica U23(home) | 1-3 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Felgueiras U23(home) | 0-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Vizela U23(away) | 1-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Gil Vicente U23(home) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | União Leiria U23(home) | 1-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Vizela U23(away) | 0-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Leixões U23(home) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Santa Clara U23(away) | 0-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Famalicão U23(home) | 4-3 | Liga Revelação U23 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marítimo U23 wins, 2 draws, 2 Farense U23 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Marítimo U23 1-2 Farense U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Farense U23 0-2 Marítimo U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Mar 16, 2023 | Farense U23 1-0 Marítimo U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Marítimo U23 0-0 Farense U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Farense U23 0-0 Marítimo U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Feb 18, 2022 | Marítimo U23 1-0 Farense U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
Last archived meeting: Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23 on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marítimo U23 score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Farense U23 score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marítimo U23 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Farense U23 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marítimo U23 sit 18th in Liga Revelação U23 (6 points from 8 matches) and Farense U23 sit 12th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Farense U23 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 18 | Marítimo U23 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Farense U23 the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Marítimo U23.
- Where and when is Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23 played?
- Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23 is played on December 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo da Imaculada Conceição, in the Liga Revelação U23.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 1, 2026Benfica U23vsFamalicão U23
- Dec 1, 2026Leixões U23vsMoreirense U23
- Dec 1, 2026Sporting CP U23vsPortimonense U23
- Dec 1, 2026Vizela U23vsSporting Braga U23
- Dec 1, 2026Estrela U23vsRio Ave U23
- Dec 1, 2026Gil Vicente U23vsTorreense U23
- Dec 1, 2026Academico Viseu U23vsSanta Clara U23
- Dec 1, 2026União Leiria U23vsFelgueiras U23