Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 26Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Leandro Nicéforo Alem, General Rodríguez, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Puerto Nuevo the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Leandro N. Alem. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Leandro N. Alem (1,517) and Puerto Nuevo (1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leandro N. Alem have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Puerto Nuevo have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Juventud Unida(home) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lugano(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Central Ballester(away) | 0-3 | Primera C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Defensores de Cambaceres(away) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Sacachispas(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Defensores de Cambaceres(home) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Yupanqui(home) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Juventud Unida(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sacachispas(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Argentino Rosario(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leandro N. Alem win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Puerto Nuevo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Puerto Nuevo 1-4 Leandro N. Alem | Primera C |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Puerto Nuevo 1-0 Leandro N. Alem | Primera C |
| May 21, 2025 | Leandro N. Alem 2-3 Puerto Nuevo | Primera C |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Puerto Nuevo 0-3 Leandro N. Alem | Primera C |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Leandro N. Alem 4-0 Puerto Nuevo | Primera C |
| Jul 10, 2023 | Puerto Nuevo 3-0 Leandro N. Alem | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Puerto Nuevo vs Leandro N. Alem on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leandro N. Alem score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Puerto Nuevo score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leandro N. Alem | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Puerto Nuevo | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leandro N. Alem sit 11th in Primera C (27 points from 25 matches) and Puerto Nuevo sit 9th (35 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Puerto Nuevo | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 35 |
| 11 | Leandro N. Alem | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 42 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?
- The Footlab model makes Puerto Nuevo the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Leandro N. Alem.
- Where and when is Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo played?
- Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Leandro Nicéforo Alem, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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