Las Palmas III vs Estrella: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Estrella. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas III vs Estrella?
Las Palmas III starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (1,845 vs 1,627).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas III vs Estrella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas III
4-3-3- VVíctor José Socorro Quintana
- HHéctor David Castillo Martín
- AAbian Santos Vergara
- SSamuel Antonio Ramos Linares
- GGabriel Felipe Arrocha
- JJosé Ángel Betancort Pérez
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- BBrian Velázquez Cardona
- UUssama Ahmed Ouzzani
- ÁÁlvaro Manuel Santana Hernández
- ÁÁlex González
Estrella
4-3-3- AAdrián Socorro
- MMarco
- AAlejo
- KKevin Suárez
- VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
- FFede Manzi
- JJaime
- FFran Ramírez
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- AAythami Artiles Oliva
- AArturo Caballero
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 07:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas III have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Estrella have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mensajero(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lanzarote(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Los Llanos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Las Palmas III wins, 1 draw, 0 Estrella wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Estrella 1-1 Las Palmas III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Estrella vs Las Palmas III on Sep 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas III score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estrella score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas III | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Estrella | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas III sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (12 points from 7 matches) and Estrella sit 14th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Las Palmas III | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 12 |
| 14 | Estrella | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
A question about Las Palmas III vs Estrella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas III vs Estrella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Estrella.
- Where and when is Las Palmas III vs Estrella played?
- Las Palmas III vs Estrella is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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